2020-06-30

oakfarm: The mysterious island, Jules Verne (Default)
2020-06-30 08:15 pm

(no subject)

About how I work, I live very much in my head and my mental health is very correlating to good or bad thing happening in society. Now I’m in a good mood because of this: Immunity to COVID-19 is probably higher than tests have shown

Some weeks ago my Swedish fb-friends linked to an article with the message: "Small light in the dark, the virus is less lethal than WHO feared". And that was data from the old antibody tests. Now more sophisticated tests starts to indicate what’s always been suspected, the real number of infected is higher than antibody tests showed. So the hope is that the real infection fatality ratio will be even lower. I know I shouldn’t be carried away by that. I have seen people speculate it means the IFR in Stockholm is 0.1-0.2 % (Stockholm has quite an old population, it should be lower in younger populations), might be optimistic.

Then on the same theme we have the interesting phenomena cross immunisation. That previous infection by other coronavirus helps. That kind of cross immunisation should also be more common in for example kindergarten teachers. Here I have a personal thing. Dad is 72 years old, therefore a risk group, but he worked as an eye doctor for children. Meaning he's every  working day for decades met a lot of children, many of them cough on him. Maybe that’s gets handy, if social distensing and hand waching isn't enough. Btw first  time I saw anything about this, T-cell immunity and cross immunity was described as “dark immunity”. Just like “dark matter” (if it exist) is matter that can’t be seen where are immunity that can’t be seen. Then I read that I thought it sounded too good to be true, and I made an online search on “debunking dark immunity”. I found articles debunking that dark skinned humans are immune. Perhaps intresting.